Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.822338 2.093533 2.394774 2.754810 3.174222 3.648337 4.226261
2025-04-20 1.451236 1.823602 2.279116 2.880210 3.656830 4.632122 5.958717
2025-04-27 1.207233 1.609730 2.134774 2.875522 3.902790 5.290365 7.329057
2025-05-04 1.072375 1.500766 2.089777 2.968021 4.260139 6.116068 9.028319
2025-05-11 0.948048 1.381868 2.005448 2.980075 4.488651 6.773882 10.572112
2025-05-18 0.849264 1.283046 1.931554 2.988551 4.700791 7.422207 12.188856
2025-05-25 0.747542 1.165185 1.811375 2.904167 4.747142 7.804468 13.417624
2025-06-01 0.689331 1.107023 1.774926 2.945363 4.997964 8.548390 15.375886
2025-06-08 0.644931 1.065163 1.758289 3.014549 5.301165 9.417894 17.696090
2025-06-15 0.595692 1.009208 1.710784 3.022187 5.492292 10.107129 19.781328
2025-06-22 0.540995 0.937769 1.628296 2.955608 5.534789 10.519444 21.377064
2025-06-29 0.496914 0.880376 1.564174 2.914291 5.617806 11.017150 23.225755
2025-07-06 0.444033 0.806440 1.470843 2.823528 5.627318 11.443291 25.177515
2025-07-13 0.422320 0.788950 1.482664 2.945587 6.100966 12.940405 29.931923
2025-07-20 0.388717 0.744335 1.436145 2.941066 6.303732 13.884313 33.596648
2025-07-27 0.369397 0.725235 1.437224 3.035842 6.739484 15.433380 39.137605
2025-08-03 0.344112 0.690996 1.402964 3.048195 6.987945 16.586230 43.929222
2025-08-10 0.321214 0.659015 1.369396 3.056881 7.228601 17.764522 49.089731
2025-08-17 0.292951 0.612504 1.299082 2.970407 7.221019 18.307527 52.563484
2025-08-24 0.277486 0.592072 1.283762 3.012623 7.546964 19.796157 59.277863
2025-08-31 0.265378 0.577725 1.280395 3.083524 7.960437 21.608356 67.519633
2025-09-07 0.250041 0.554388 1.253518 3.091352 8.204940 22.990068 74.746104
2025-09-14 0.231352 0.521363 1.200077 3.023122 8.226147 23.719152 79.945984